Applications of Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations to the Studies of ENSO and THC


Mu Mu

14:50:00 - 15:40:00

101 , Mathematics Research Center Building (ori. New Math. Bldg.)

This report reviews the applications of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs) to the “spring predictability barrier” (SPB) problem in El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictions and the decadal variabilities of thermohaline circulation (THC) problem. First we briefly introduce the approach of CNOP, and then the results obtained by CNOP on SPB problem will be given. Finally we discuss the stability and decadal variability problems of THC by using CNOP approach.

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